Oops! I did it again! (apologies to Britney)
The Preakness Stakes is over. My picks:
1) Animal Kingdom
2) Mucho Macho Man
3) Dialed In
My Squidoo lenses were “locked” today. That means taken down, unpublished, hidden away, destroyed, obliterated, bombed, and killed. Know why? Because they were about the Horse races; Kentucky Derby, the Preakness, and one about Las Vegas (and how to save money on your next visit).
Those lenses were labeled by the Squidoo Brainiacs as Gambling.
These were simple lenses of information – that’s all – information. But the Squidoo Fools called the lenses: “Gambling”
Yes, Surprise was the word of the day yesterday as the Titanic of horse racing, the 1-9 favorite Uncle Mo lost to two (not just one, but two – Toby’s Corner and Arthur’s Tale) rivals in the Wood Memorial.
BTW: As you know, I had picked Uncle Mo to win that race (as did everyone else it seems – after all, he went off at 1-9) so that was a loss. What I didn’t have time to tell most of you was this. When Uncle Mo showed those odds (1-9) I jumped off him! At those odds, no horse is bettable because you risk your money for a very small return… it’s just not smart! So, the play in this case was to bet EVERY OTHER HORSE to win… and hope for an upset. Because, the closest odds to the favorite was an amazing 17-1 (late betting pushed him down to 8-1 – may have been his connections who always bet at the very last moment)… the other horses were well into the high 20′s, the 30′s, and beyond. So, place one unit on each of the other horses to win, and 2 units on the favorite-of-the-rest (8-1).
Playing $10 units, your bet would have been $90, and your return was nearly $200.
At the start of that race, Uncle Mo was also the favorite to win the Kentucky Derby. Less than two minutes later… dog meat! Well, that’s a little harsh, he’s still a good horse in a so-so crop of 3 year olds. That’s horse racing! As we know, anything can and does happen. Unless it’s discovered that Uncle Mo was injured (and Bob Baffert said he tore a quarter at the gate) Uncle Mo had no excuses as the times were very, very slow.
Here, see for yourself: Read the rest…
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The race to enter The Kentucky Derby tightens up considerably today through two very important prep races; the Santa Anita Derby, and the Wood Memorial.
Here’s how I see them:
Santa Anita Derby – Today’s SADerby is going to be hottly contested based upon of all things: the horses! Duh! You say… but consider the facts that great careful breeding, high prices, famous connections, perfect training and deep pocket owners can all do their parts and still not make the grade… in this case: The Grade I, Million Dollar SAD!
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Sure, Dialed In, the 5-2 second favorite in the eight horse field ridden by Julien Leparoux and trained by Nick Zito, won the Florida Derby. But I have to ask “So What”? It was his trademarked long-strided stretch run that got him the win… but… Read the rest…
The Kentucky Derby race to the post begins today. There’s a big field of horses trying to qualify for the Run for the Roses. It’s a matter of money… that is, the top money earners of this year’s crop of three-year-olds will get into the big race on the first Saturday in May (May 7th).
Update: Results below…
Since 2004, the Kentucky Derby has had 20 horses in the race. If more than 20 (the limit) are entered Read the rest…
I hope you all hate (hmmmm dislike) Microsoft. If not for their poor (Horrible) products, then for their poor (Horrible) business practices. (Don’t get me started – ’cause it goes all the way back to their early days – read about those pirates yourself).
Now, our beloved Yahoo has decided to get into bed with the Redmond, WA bandits. They’re merging their Search Marketing with (gag) Bing!
We who love Gambling (and that really includes EVERYONE – if you don’t believe me – stop buying Stocks, Bonds, Insurance Policies, and picking your Mate) had to leave Google… and now Yahoo too!
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Wow, it seem it’s necessary to send out a reminder to everyone that what makes online gambling “illegal” in the US has exceptions.
When Bush and his Republican cronies snuck the horrible UIGEA into the “Patriot’s Bill” late one Friday night, it became a law that was to become one of the biggest mistakes (or stupid moves) in many decades. It’s been debated, argued, postponed and fought over ever since!
You know the history… you know the problems it caused… you know it’s impossible to enforce… and yet it still hangs over us.
I’m still here in Las Vegas – enjoying some profitable sports bets plus a few horses too! I’ve been away too long to know the horses, but I’m happy to see that the same handicapping tricks I used to teach STILL WORK!!!!
I stumbled upon a unique person… here’s a handicapper that Read the rest…
Now YOU TOO can consistently profit from horseracing betting… even if you’ve never laid a bet before
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The Belmont Stakes is just hours away, and I’m now watching the under card. So, it’s time to give you my picks for the Belmont… Read the rest…
I will be handicapping the Belmont Stakes in a later post, but I want to let you know who the starters for this important horse race are.
Plus, I just might spill the beans on my early picks for the Belmont too…
First however, here are the entries and their post positions and connections: Read the rest…
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Another one bites the dust!
Today, it was announced that another Belmont Stakes entry was scratched.
This time Read the rest…
We’re a little more than a week away from the Belmont, and there are still many questions to answer.
Will Rachel Run?
Will Calvin Ride?
Will D Wayne win his fifth? Read the rest…
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Belmont Update…
Horse racing is facing battles from every front. Famed track Churchill Downs canceled yesterday’s card due to “lack of horses”. Lack of Horses? Churchill Downs? How can this be?
It seems that competing tracks can offer horsemen bigger purses because there are slot machines at the tracks. When the slots supplement the purses, it attracts horses. So, the controversy continues… Will Churchill Downs get permission to add slot machines?
Ah, but there is a happy note (?) in the future.
Do you remember when you were a kid and you got to ride the Carousel? You got on a horse and you rode it round and round and round. You rode the same horse each time around!
Well, that’s the way it’s supposed to be in the real world too. That is, if you’re a jockey, you get a mount, and you ride it every time.
Things have gone screwy in this real world today!
I have a favorite play that I use with daily doubles. It exposes which horses in the second half of the DD is getting the heavy betting (by connections?).
I’ll not go into the formula for this, but I will give you my results.
I’m using the will-pays of the Preakness because it’s tied to the results of today’s Black-Eyed Susan.
Here are my findings: Read the rest…
I’ve charted the Preakness, and I know the winner:
Here’s how I see the race unfolding…
When the gates open, the immediate charge will bring four horses to the front, and I see them four-wide:
from the rail outwards: 7, 11, 12, 13
Now, going into the all-important first turn…
Okay… it’s set, and if nothing unforeseen happens, the Preakness Stakes this coming Saturday is ready for your handicapping skills. Today, the post positions were chosen and the odds were announced. Horse races are not an easy thing to conquer, and if you’re like me, you missed the Kentucky Derby by 6 3/4 lengths. I had “Pioneerof The Nile” and he was the clear winner… until the not-so-clear winner trounced him and the rest of the field.
Here are the announced post positions and Odds:
Tomorrow, the post positions will be announced for the 134th running of the Preakness Stakes at Pimlico Race Track in Maryland. But, I’m going to make my prediction today (but let me alter it if the PP’s stink!)
I consider many factors when I look at a race like this one. Not all factors are created equal. Is the Jockey more or less important than the Trainer? Are either as important as Class? Are they all dwarfed by Speed? Is Pedigree most important? Or can you throw out all of them and just consider Form?
I’ll not expose my hierarchy here, but you’ll be able to reverse engineer my picks and discern my probable order of importance of all the factors.
Let me say before I give you my picks that heart (not head) plays a big role as I get nearer the betting window. Not that I change my mind at the last minute (although that does happen occasionally), but when consciously taking my heart out of the calculations, does it somehow creep in without my knowing it? Absolutely – I’m not a machine! I tell you this because I’m in love with the filly “Rachel Alexandra”. She is a super-filly, a proven winner, an outstanding athlete. So, does that figure into my picks? I can only say – I hope not! I want to be purely mechanical in picking a winner without heart clouding the issue.
So, who’s going to win the Preakness this Saturday? Read the rest…
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