Kentucky Derby Day…

1:14 am Horseracing Handicapping, My POV
CLICK on these Sponsors:

Well, here it is – one of my favorite days of the year. Kentucky Derby Day!

First – Congratulations to the first female jockey to win the Kentucky Oaks; Rosie Napravnik. Of course, the horse deserves some of the credit. So Congratulations to  ”Believe You Can”. The owners, trainers and handlers all Believed!

So, now comes the biggie: the Kentucky Derby. This, the 138th running is impossible to figure. I’ve been sure of my picks in the past (right or wrong), but this year – it’s the most open field as far as possible winners go that I can remember.

My favorite since the Arkansas Derby (as you know, Oaklawn is my favorite track), Bodemeister is likely to become everyone’s favorite come post time. I’d like to get a better price on him, but now you all know he’s the fastest of the field. He has as many triple digit Beyers as does the rest of the field – combined! His 3 are better than their three – na na na na… na na!  LOL

He’s got early speed, he’s got a great post position, he’s coming into the race fit… what’s to not like?

… the other horses – that’s what to not like. There are just too many of them that have legitimate chances of taking the Roses this year.

Let’s take a final look:

Union Rags – likely to be the second favorite in the betting and rightly so. This horse may take advantage of fast splits and catch ‘em all!

Dullahan – He’d be a co-favorite also except that his ability on dirt is suspect. He too will be charging late.

Creative Cause – If he goes off at 15-1 or better – he’ll be the best “longshot” in years. Can Do!

Daddy Nose Best – Dangerous! He’s sneaky… comes from behind, however this is definitely a step-up in class and although he’s got the winningest PP (10) I don’t think he’ll get there in time… close though.

Alpha – Very capable closer. Watch for a great run up the stretch.

Gemologist – He’s never lost! And 2 of his wins were here at Churchill Downs. The locals will be all over him – a short price will eliminate him for me.

El Padrino – Here’s a real sleeper. I don’t know what to make of this horse. He’s faster than many in the race (98) and has beaten some in this group. We’ll get a great price on this horse… maybe 25-1 or more!

Sabrecat – Scary! I can’t wait to see what this horse does. He’s a real secret. Steve Asmussen has done “just enough” to qualify him for this race without getting any attention at all. He’s really done a masterful job of keeping him under wraps and bringing him to peak at the right time. Can’t overlook the possibility of an upset!

But – having said that, I’m sticking with my earlier predictions:

Bodemeister

Union Rags

Dullahan

… the rest… yes the rest – ALL 17 of ‘em!

Fasten your seat belts my friends – we’re in for a helluva ride!

CLICK on these Sponsors:
Share and Enjoy:
  • Digg
  • StumbleUpon
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Yahoo! Buzz
  • Twitter
  • Google Bookmarks
  • connotea
  • Google Buzz
  • HelloTxt
  • Identi.ca
  • LinkedIn
  • Ping.fm
  • Reddit
  • Tumblr
Be Sociable, Share!


Tags: , , , , , ,

5 Responses

  1. free 1000 backlinks Says:

    You know therefore considerably on the subject of this subject, produced me personally consider it from numerous varied angles. Its like men and women are not fascinated except it’s something to do with Girl gaga! Your own stuffs outstanding. At all times deal with it up!

  2. obesimed kullanan Says:

    Usually I don’t read post on blogs, however I wish to say that this write-up very forced me to try and do so! Your writing style has been surprised me. Thanks, very nice post.

  3. Avis araç kiralama Says:

    I am really inspired with your writing skills and also with the layout to your blog. Is this a paid subject matter or did you customize it your self? Anyway keep up the excellent quality writing, it is rare to see a nice weblog like this one today..

  4. obesimed zay?flama hap? Says:

    Pretty great post. I just stumbled upon your weblog and wished to mention that I’ve really loved browsing your blog posts. After all I’ll be subscribing for your feed and I’m hoping you write again very soon!

  5. Burberry Handbags,Chloe bags,Christian Dior bags,Dolce & Gabbana bags,luxury bags online store Says:

    That is very attention-grabbing, You’re an excessively skilled blogger. I have joined your feed and look forward to looking for extra of your excellent post. Also, I’ve shared your website in my social networks

Leave a Comment

Your comment

You can use these tags: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>

Please note: Comment moderation is enabled and may delay your comment. There is no need to resubmit your comment.