Kentucky Derby – Post Positions didn’t change anything!May 2, 2012 11:39 pm Horseracing Handicapping, My POV
Usually, the PP dictates changes in the Pre-PP odds, but not this year. None of my favorites are substantially affected by their PP… so here are my picks:
2: Union Rags
Sorry – those are the favorites and the odds are not great.
The ONLY thing I’m sure of is this: Bodemeister, Dullahan, Union Rags and Trinniberg will lead the way into the first turn. After that, I give up!
However, if those four can keep the pace reasonable, the three should also be there at the finish (Trinniberg might hang on for fourth). If the fractions are brutal as I suspect they will be, then watch for the sneakers and closers: Gemologist just behind the leaders into the 1st turn, Alpha ditto and needs a clean trip, Hansen.
Play it this way:
BM to Win
BM/UR/DH + CC+ DNB + GEM + HAN + IHA + ElP + ALP + TCI + TB Superfecta
… then throw ‘em all in a hat and choose again.
I have a “consensus” table so you can see what the popular pics are:
The points are awarded by each of the seven experts. 5 for Win, 3 for Place, and 1 for Show. The numbers in the Parenthesis are number of experts that picked the horse to Win.
Yep – it’s the KD folks – anything and everything can happen.
Tags: buzz b berkeley, futures, horse racing, horseracing, Kentucky Derby, Run for the Roses, triple crown