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Preakness Stakes – a Winner by default?

5:28 pm Horseracing Handicapping, My POV
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Wow! They fell like apples in a windstorm… the horses have run… away from the Preakness this year!

… and then there were eleven! Yes, only 11 horses will compete for the win in the second jewel in the Triple Crown.

This could mean that we’ll have a TC winner this year because no one showed up. OR… they’re all planning to spoil the chances by resting for the third leg; the Belmont Stakes.

So, of course the Kentucky Derby winner will run. After all, we want a Triple Crown winner don’t we? Well, yes and no… I want one, but I want one that deserves it. I want a standout that can beat every three year old rival this year. I don’t want one that wins by default because the competition has decided not to run.

Thankfully, there are some horses (4) entered in the Preakness that didn’t run in the Kentucky Derby, or else we would have a 7 horse giveaway.

But wait a moment… the KD winner is not even favored to win! “I’ll Have Another” is second in the morning odds to “Bodemeister” who ran an amazing race in Kentucky… for a while. He set unbelievable times as he tore around the track at Churchill Downs before quitting due to exhaustion and allowing “I’ll Have Another” to catch up and pass.

I expect a totally different pace this time. 1) Trinniberg is missing. 2) Mike Smith has been duly chastised by Baffert for his insane dash in the KD. 3) I’ll Have Another will need incredible luck (as he had in Kentucky) to get a totally uncontested trip. 4) this is a longer race.

Bodemeister should win this one.

Here are the Post Positions for this Saturday’s Preakness:

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