I’m still here in Las Vegas - enjoying some profitable sports bets plus a few horses too! I’ve been away too long to know the horses, but I’m happy to see that the same handicapping tricks I used to teach STILL WORK!!!!
I stumbled upon a unique person… here’s a handicapper that Read the rest…
Horse racing is facing battles from every front. Famed track Churchill Downs canceled yesterday’s card due to “lack of horses”. Lack of Horses? Churchill Downs? How can this be?
It seems that competing tracks can offer horsemen bigger purses because there are slot machines at the tracks. When the slots supplement the purses, it attracts horses. So, the controversy continues… Will Churchill Downs get permission to add slot machines?
Do you remember when you were a kid and you got to ride the Carousel? You got on a horse and you rode it round and round and round. You rode the same horse each time around!
Well, that’s the way it’s supposed to be in the real world too. That is, if you’re a jockey, you get a mount, and you ride it every time.
I have a favorite play that I use with daily doubles. It exposes which horses in the second half of the DD is getting the heavy betting (by connections?).
I’ll not go into the formula for this, but I will give you my results.
I’m using the will-pays of the Preakness because it’s tied to the results of today’s Black-Eyed Susan.
Okay… it’s set, and if nothing unforeseen happens, the Preakness Stakes this coming Saturday is ready for your handicapping skills. Today, the post positions were chosen and the odds were announced. Horse races are not an easy thing to conquer, and if you’re like me, you missed the Kentucky Derby by 6 3/4 lengths. I had “Pioneerof The Nile” and he was the clear winner… until the not-so-clear winner trounced him and the rest of the field.
Tomorrow, the post positions will be announced for the 134th running of the Preakness Stakes at Pimlico Race Track in Maryland. But, I’m going to make my prediction today (but let me alter it if the PP’s stink!)
I consider many factors when I look at a race like this one. Not all factors are created equal. Is the Jockey more or less important than the Trainer? Are either as important as Class? Are they all dwarfed by Speed? Is Pedigree most important? Or can you throw out all of them and just consider Form?
I’ll not expose my hierarchy here, but you’ll be able to reverse engineer my picks and discern my probable order of importance of all the factors.
Let me say before I give you my picks that heart (not head) plays a big role as I get nearer the betting window. Not that I change my mind at the last minute (although that does happen occasionally), but when consciously taking my heart out of the calculations, does it somehow creep in without my knowing it? Absolutely - I’m not a machine! I tell you this because I’m in love with the filly “Rachel Alexandra”. She is a super-filly, a proven winner, an outstanding athlete. So, does that figure into my picks? I can only say - I hope not! I want to be purely mechanical in picking a winner without heart clouding the issue.
So, who’s going to win the Preakness this Saturday? Read the rest…
For the first time in history, a jockey has elected to jump off his Kentucky Derby winning mount to ride a different horse in the Preakness! Unheard of…. Blasphemy!
Seriously, Calvin Borel the jockey who rode a super-human race in the Kentucky Derby last Saturday aboard 50-1 longshot “Mine That Bird”, has elected to instead ride the super-filly “Rachel Alexandra” in the Preakness on May 16th to become the fifth filly to win it, and the first to run in the race in 10 years.
Borel was accredited with the win because he superbly guided his mount through tough traffic from last place, hugging the rail, veering out around one horse, then pulling in again to thread his way between the rail and “Join The Dance” where there seemingly was NO room! His horse then sped past the front runners and won going away by 6 ¾ lengths.
You’ve been wondering where I’ve disappeared to… it takes something as important to me as the Kentucky Derby to bring me back from…
Well, that’s not important; what is important is the Run For The Roses. It’s tomorrow, and usually I’ve posted my pick to win nearly a week before the race. Not this year. This year, there’s no clear winner (like “Big Brown” was last year), and along with the absence of a favorite, comes an absence of interest. This could be the most boring of all Kentucky Derby races, or maybe the lack of a favorite will make for an exciting race full of surprises.
Anyway, I feel it’s my “duty” to share my thoughts on the event tomorrow.
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